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DXY: Flat
Trades little changed in the absence of any fresh macro catalysts and following the holiday closure stateside, while participants look ahead to weekly ADP Employment and NY Fed Manufacturing data, as well as the latest Fed commentary from Barr and Daly.EUR/USD: -0.1%
Marginally trickled lower but with price action kept to within tight parameters near the 1.1850 level amid light newsflow from the bloc and the recent mixed EU Industrial Production data.GBP/USD: -0.1%
Price action is lacklustre after UK PM Starmer flip-flopped again, whereby his government abandons plans to delay 30 council elections following legal advice, while polling suggested that Labour...
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USTs: +2 ticks
Price action is uneventful following the holiday closure on Monday for Washington's Birthday, while participants look ahead to data and Fed speak.Bunds: -3 ticks
Struggles for direction after the prior day's choppy mood and as German ZEW data and issuances loom.JGBs: +30 ticks
Climbed higher amid the negative risk sentiment in Japan and with futures unfazed by the approaching 5yr JGB auction.(Newsquawk)
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WTI/Brent: WTI Mar'26 +1.3% / Brent Apr'26 -0.2%
Oil futures are rangebound overnight but hold on to most of the prior day's gains after steadily advancing in thinned conditions, while the focus turns to US-Iran talks in Geneva on Tuesday, which will simultaneously be held with trilateral negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US.Gold: -0.9%
Retreated after stalling around the USD 5,000/oz level with selling pressure seen alongside a drop in silver prices, which tumbled by more than 3% before bouncing off its lows.Copper: -0.8%
Remains subdued amid the mass holiday closures across the region, including its largest buyer, China.(Newsquawk)
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Board concluded inflation would stay stubbornly high if it had not hiked interest rates as it did this month.Members agreed that the data received since the previous meeting had strengthened their concern that without a policy response, inflation would remain persistently above target for too long.Longer term bond yields in Australia had moved higher, reflecting changed expectations for the cash rate.Strategy remains to return inflation to target over time while preserving employment gains.Incoming data will be critical in assessing how risks evolve.Members noted that measures of longer-term inflation expectations appeared well-anchored and consistent with central banks’ inflation targets. However, measures...
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Iran are bad negotiators and he hopes they will be more reasonable in talks.(Newswires)
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Full post "Heading to D.C. Will give an Air Force One Press Conference, shortly. Marco was fantastic in Munich! AOC and Newscum were an embarrassment to our Nation. For one thing they shouldn’t be talking badly about the U.S.A., especially on “foreign soil.” They made fools of themselves, and always will! Crooked Hillary merely showed her anger and Trump Derangement. Really bad representatives of our now very successful Country!"
(Truth Social)
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Chubu Electric Power (9502 JT) - Co. 9-month (JPY) net rose 21.2% Y/Y to 202.6bln, rev. fell 3.2% Y/Y to 2.57tln. (Newswires)
J. Front Retailing (3086 JT) - Co. January total consolidated revenue rose 0.4% Y/Y and its department store sales fell 1.4% Y/Y. (Newswires)
Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JT) - Japanese financial regulators are investigating suspected insider trading by an employee of Mizuho Securities. (Nikkei)
Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JT) - Co. announced US FDA acceptance for filing of New Drug Application for Tirabrutinib in patients with relapsed or refractory primary central nervous system lymphoma. (Newswires)
Sojitz (2768 JT) - Co. will widen its...
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Baby Bunting (BBN AT) - Co. H1 (AUD) net profit fell 53% Y/Y to 1.8mln, rev. rose 6.7% Y/Y to 271.4mln, Co. will not pay an interim dividend, reaffirms H2 pro forma net profit guidance of 12.5mln-14.5mln and now expects FY pro forma net profit of 17.5mln-19.5mln. (Dow Jones Newsplus)
BHP (BHP AT) - Co. H1 (USD) net rose 28% Y/Y to 5.64bln, underlying profit rose 22% Y/Y to 6.2bln (exp. 6.03bln), rev. rose 11% Y/Y to 27.9bln, Co. will pay interim dividend of USD 0.73/shr, Co. inks silver streaming agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals and will receive upfront payment of...
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Co. inks silver streaming agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals and will receive upfront payment of USD 4.3bln at completion. (Dow Jones Newsplus)
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US markets were closed for Washington's Birthday (Presidents' Day).EU and a 12-nation Indo-Pacific bloc are opening talks to explore forming one of the largest global economic alliances.Fed Vice-Chair for Supervision Bowman said US banks are to see new mortgage capital requirements in the Basel plan.Looking ahead, highlights include Japanese Tertiary Activity Index, RBA Minutes from the February Meeting, Supply from Japan, Holiday Closures in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Indonesia, Vietnam, Singapore & Philippines.LOOKING AHEADHighlights include Japanese Tertiary Activity Index, RBA Minutes from the February Meeting, Supply from Japan, Holiday Closures in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Indonesia,...
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Newsquawk will open for APAC coverage as usual on Sunday, 15th February 2026 with EU coverage commencing as normal on Monday, 16th February. Thereafter, the desk will shut at 18:00GMT/13:00ET and then re-open on the same day for APAC coverage at 22:00GMT/17:00ET.(Newsquawk)
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S&P 500Allegion Public Limited Company (ALLE) EPS (exp. 1.98), Revenue (exp. 1.04bln), Next Qtr. EPS (exp. 1.99), Next Qtr. Rev. (exp. 1.03bln), Current FY EPS (exp. 8.19), Current FY Rev. (exp. 4.07bln), Next FY EPS (exp. 8.86), Next FY Rev. (exp. 4.33bln) 11:00GMT/06:00EST
Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) EPS (exp. 2.61), Revenue (exp. 4.30bln), Next Qtr. EPS (exp. 2.96), Next Qtr. Rev. (exp. 4.38bln), Current FY EPS (exp. 11.84), Current FY Rev. (exp. 17.28bln), Next FY EPS (exp. 12.32), Next FY Rev. (exp. 17.92bln) 11:00GMT/06:00EST
Medtronic Plc (MDT) EPS (exp. 1.34), Revenue (exp. 8.91bln), Next Qtr. EPS (exp. 1.69), Next Qtr. Rev. (exp....
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No oil delivered via Druzhba pipeline since Jan 27th.Began supplying its refineries with seaborne crude oil to make up for the shortfall.If shipments from the East do not resume in coming days, Hungary may need to release c. 250k T of strategic crude oil in the first round.(Fin X)
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Holiday: Chinese Spring Festival Golden Week (17-24 Feb)Data: UK Unemployment/Wages (Dec), German/EZ ZEW (Feb), US ADP Weekly, NY Fed (Feb), Canadian CPI (Jan), Japanese Balance of Trade (Jan)Events: RBA Minutes (Feb); US-Ukraine-Russia talks to take place (17-18 Feb)Speakers: Fed’s Barr, DalySupply: Japan, GermanyEarnings: Medtronic, Leidos, Palo Alto, Cadence Design Systems, Republic Services, Vulcan Materials, Kenvue, Antofagasta(Newsquawk)
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Sees opportunities in pharmaceutical and agricultural sectors.(FinX)
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EQUITIES
European Equities - European bourses traded primarily in the green (STOXX 600 +0.3%), led by the IBEX (+0.9%), while the DAX underperformed due to pressure in Siemens (SIE GY) shares (-5%). SMI (+0.2%) gains were capped after Swiss Q4 GDP grew just 0.2%, missing expectations and weighing on Swiss stocks.Sectors - Sector performance was mixed. Banks (+1.6%) and Financial Services (+1.4%) outperformed, rebounding as yields stabilised. Basic Resources (-1.7%), Technology (-0.8%), and Chemicals (-0.4%) lagged amid Lunar New Year-related softness and a heavy earnings week ahead for miners. Notable movers included NatWest (+4.0%) on the launch of its GBP 750mln...
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FY adj. EBIT margin 11-11.5%. FY Adj. EPS view 1.70-1.85 (exp. 1.72)FY net sales view of (1)% to 1% vs FY 2025.Additionally, the company now expects free cash flow conversion to be approximately 100% for the full year, an increase from its previous expectation of approximately 90%.(PR Newswire)
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Sees a path forward that incorporates both renewed bank participation in the mortgage market and a safe and sound banking system.Two regulatory proposals will soon be introduced that, among other broader changes to the regulatory capital framework, would increase bank incentives to engage in mortgage origination and servicing.Proposals would remove the requirement to deduct mortgage servicing assets from regulatory capital while maintaining the 250 percent risk weight assigned to these assets.The proposals would also consider increasing the risk sensitivity of capital requirements for mortgage loans on bank books.Strengthening bank participation in these activities does not threaten the safety and soundness...
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